Monday, 30 June 2025

"It will be remembered as the greatest mass delusion in the history of the world—that CO2, the life of plants, was considered for a time to be a deadly poison."

"It will be remembered as the greatest mass delusion in the history of the world—that CO2, the life of plants, was considered for a time to be a deadly poison."
~ Harvard Emeritus Professor Richard Lindzen

"[T]he [climate] scenario leading to the greatest amount of climate change [is] called RCP8.5 (indicating a radiative forcing of 8.5 W/m2 in 2100), [which has been adopted by the UN's IPCC] as the single business-as-usual scenario .... which gave it special status among ... the hundreds of baseline scenarios of the broader IPCC scenario database.
    "RCP8.5 is not simply 'highly unlikely' — it is [already] falsified, meaning that its emissions trajectory is already well out of step with reality. We showed this conclusively in Burgess et al. 2021, from which the annotated figure below comes.
    "The gap between the black arrow (RCP8.5) and the blue arrow (reality) indicates that RCP8.5 is not just unlikely, but impossible — it is already wildly wrong. Since we published that paper, that gap between RCP8.5 and reality has only grown larger.'

~ Justin Ritchie & Roger Pielke Jr., from their article 'How Climate Scenarios Lost Touch With Reality'

"When the story of the great turn-of-the-millennium climate science fraud comes to be written by future historians, the central role of the RCP8.5 ‘business as usual’ model scenario, much featured in recent IPCC reports, will be obvious to all. This ‘pathway’ has polluted climate model predictions for years with its wild and improbable claims of carbon dioxide emissions and soaring temperatures. A huge number of science papers incorporating the pathway are published by obvious Net Zero activists, and their ‘scientists say’ climate psychosis-inducing fairy tales are sped on their way by blinkered journalists in the mainstream press. The science writer Roger Pielke Jr. notes that RCP8.5 has been 'falsified' – most knew it was fake, historians are likely to conclude, but the Net Zero addiction was too strong for it to be given up."
~ Chris Morrison from his post 'The Great Climate Science Swindle Goes On'

2 comments:

Tom Hunter said...

Strange coincidence. I just published my post about this on No Minister this morning, one part of it using the same 2021 report by Pielke and Ritchie on climate scenarios.

I decided to go a bit further Fun With Climate Science – Bad Inputs:
- Bad Models
- Bad Scenario GHG emission inputs into the models
- Bad measurements used against the models

As I point out, the scenarios take already flawed estimates of human population growth (which is the simplest of the four factors to estimate) and then pile on more bad assumptions and estimate errors for the nested layers on top of that; industrialisation -> Technologies -> Energy Production/Consumption... to get the GHG volume estimates that they then shove into the models.

And yet this insanity proceeeds. I guess it's going to take blackouts and massive increases in power prices before things change???

Peter Cresswell said...

And yet blackouts and massive increases in power prices have been seen from Australia to Texas to Western Europe—and still the insanity continues.
Which tells us the movement is clearly not evidence based ...