"No consensus" says scientists' letter to UN head
An open letter to the UN Secretary General from nearly a hundred scientists and at least a dozen economists says the UN/IPCC climate conference taking place in Bali is "taking the world in entirely the wrong direction."
"It is not possible to stop climate change, a natural phenomenon that has affected humanity through the ages," say the signatories. "We therefore need to equip nations to become resilient to the full range of these natural phenomena by promoting economic growth and wealth generation."
The signatories say the IPCC's "increasingly alarming conclusions about the climatic influences of human-produced carbon dioxide [are] entirely unjustified," and further that it is not even established, as the IPCC's Bali delegates simply assume, "that it is possible to significantly alter global climate through cuts in human greenhouse gas emissions."
The Summary Reports produced by the IPCC are the basis on which the world's industrial country's are to be shackled in an attempt to significantly alter global climate, yet contrary to the impression left by the IPCC, the Summary Reports "cannot properly be represented as a consensus view among experts." Nor, say signatories, can they be considered an accurate characterisation of the science on which the Summaries are based.
Contrary to the impression left by the IPCC Summary reports:
- Recent observations of phenomena such as glacial retreats, sea-level rise and the migration of temperature-sensitive species are not evidence for abnormal climate change, for none of these changes has been shown to lie outside the bounds of known natural variability.
- The average rate of warming of 0.1 to 0. 2 degrees Celsius per decade recorded by satellites during the late 20th century falls within known natural rates of warming and cooling over the last 10,000 years.
- Leading scientists, including some senior IPCC representatives, acknowledge that today's computer models cannot predict climate.
--Consistent with this, and despite computer projections of temperature rises, there has been no net global warming since 1998. That the current temperature plateau follows a late 20th-century period of warming is consistent with the continuation today of natural multi-decadal or millennial climate cycling.
The science is not settled, they say, and the path down which the IPCC conference in Bali is heading ignores the lessons apparent from "the failure of the Kyoto Protocol, the chaotic nature of the European CO2 trading market, and the ineffectiveness of other costly initiatives to curb greenhouse gas emissions."
The letter and the list of signatories is here.