Wednesday 4 September 2024

The Myth of Finite Resources


"Intellectuals, politicians, and journalists treat the idea that capitalism inevitably leads to ecological disaster as an unquestionable truth — ... that free markets cause the destruction of Mother Earth and that we must enact socialist policies to prevent an ecological doomsday scenario. But, what if I told you that economic facts do not buttress this hypothesis at all? And what if I added that an ingenious economist already proved the compatibility of capitalism and environmentalism as early as 1981? ...
    "One of the charges most frequently levelled against capitalism is that this social system must necessarily lead to ecological disaster. After all, the earth’s resources, the eco-socialist argument goes, are finite. Evil capitalists and greedy businessmen will gradually exploit non-renewables until we are doomed because we are out of natural resources. Karl Marx proposed this hypothesis as early as 1867 ...

"Inspired by Jean-Jacques Rousseau, Marx believed that the cause for ecological disaster is to be found in the introduction of private property rights. ... Rousseau and Marx’s solution to this alleged problem was the abolition of capitalism and property rights, a solution which has presently been voiced as vociferously as never before by the eco-socialists. ... While reading fairy tales and fables can certainly be an entertaining pastime activity, it is by now about time to return to reality ...

"In a free-market economy, the price of a resource is determined by its scarcity. If a resource becomes more abundant due to an increase in supply and/or a decrease in demand, its price will typically drop. If a given resource, vice versa, becomes more scarce due to a decrease in supply and/or an increase in demand, its price will usually rise. This change in scarcity and price, in turn, affects the behaviour of any rational market participant with an entrepreneurial mindset, producer and consumer alike. In his groundbreaking monograph, 'The Ultimate Resource,' American economist Julian L. Simon observes, 'Heightened scarcity causes prices to rise. The higher prices present opportunity and prompt inventors and entrepreneurs to search for solutions.' In a capitalist society, the depletion of a nonrenewable resource is prevented by three emerging patterns of behaviour, all of them caused by the increase in the resource’s price.
    "[Between them, rising prices and] the profit motive offer an incentive to the rational businessman to obtain and store more units of the nonrenewable resource in question. ... and to start developing substitutes for the nonrenewable resource in question ... [Meanwhile] the desire to economise motivates rational buyers to become less dependent on the nonrenewable resource in question. ...

"Ultimately, there is only one resource which is necessary to replenish all others, namely the human mind. It is for this reason that Julian Simon chose to name his groundbreaking study 'The Ultimate Resource.' 'The main fuel to speed the world’s progress,' he explains, 'is our stock of knowledge, and the brake is our lack of imagination. The ultimate resource is people—skilled, spirited, hopeful people—who will exert their wills and imaginations for their own benefit.' ...

"The eco-socialists are undoubtedly right in pointing out that the earth contains only a certain amount of nonrenewable resources in a fixed quantity. ...  More importantly, though, the eco-socialist errs in concluding that natural resources must be finite because the earth contains them in a limited quantity. Rather, in a free-market economy, as the resource becomes more scarce the price of the natural resource increases. Changes in producer and consumer patterns, in turn, prevent its depletion. In Simon’s words, 'Population growth and increase of income expand demand, forcing up prices of natural resources. The increased prices trigger the search for new supplies [or substitutes, and provides more human capital for the search and investigation.] Eventually new sources and substitutes are found.' ...

"The key economic problem of a socialist economy [however] is that the price of a resource will not rise if it becomes more scarce. Price ceilings effectively prevent an increase in price, thereby demotivating businessmen from increasing their production of non-renewables, and/or developing substitutes for them. The result, as can be witnessed in socialist countries all over the globe, are shortages and famines.
    "Thus, if people are truly concerned with the potential depletion of finite resources, they should start questioning their political convictions. The solution to preventing the exhaustion of the earth’s resources are not government controls but free markets and free minds. To paraphrase Ayn Rand, 'If concern with [the environment] and human suffering were the [eco-socialists]’ motive, they would have become champions of capitalism long ago; they would have discovered that it is the only political system capable of producing abundance'.”

~ Martin Hooss from his post 'The Myth of Nonrenewable Resources'

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2 comments:

Duncan Bayne said...

I've had several variants of this conversation over the past few years:

Me: We don't need to worry about resource exhaustion[1], because of human ingenuity.
They: That's rubbish, we need de-growth and regulation!

Me: You know, these renewable energy targets hinge on storage technology improving well beyond their current limits.
They: That's rubbish, human ingenuity will make the targets achievable!

Pick a lane.

[1] In general; there are some specific tragedies of the commons we really should worry about.

MarkT said...

@Duncan - What you're dealing with here is confusion from "they" over what requires a general principle, versus what requires specifics and concretes. In a broad sense and in the long term, we can rely on human ingenuity to avoid resource exhaustion, and there's no need to get overly specific. In fact getting too specific limits the freedom of individuals to innovate and adapt to changing circumstances.

However in meeting the need for energy in the short term we do need to get specific, and vague allusions to meeting our needs 'somehow' via technology that doesn't yet exist is pure fantasy.