Wednesday 26 October 2022

"When an iron lady was needed, Truss proved to be made of straw."


"Liz Truss’s stint as British prime minister is over, but she was right that the United Kingdom needs growth. Her downfall is tragic, because growth is the only path out of the country’s economic dilemma.... If anything, Truss’s proposed reforms were too mild....
    "The UK is at a post-Brexit crossroads. Will it become a free-trade, entrepreneurial, financial hub – a “Singapore on Thames”? Or does Brexit mean protecting and subsidising inefficient businesses and places even more than the European Union allows? Unfortunately, we now know the answer. Truss’s critics have no counterproposal that has any chance of reigniting growth. The stage is set for further high-tax, high-subsidy, over-regulated decline.
    "As sound as Truss’s plans were in economic-policy terms, her government’s handling of the messaging and the politics was spectacularly inept. That is an important lesson ... One obvious mistake was Truss’s announcement of a £60 billion ($68 billion) blowout to hold down gas prices. That is not a good way to launch a pro-growth revolution.
    "She then moved on to “tax cuts”... In announcing the policy [however], neither Truss nor her chancellor of the Exchequer, Kwasi Kwarteng, explained the point of lowering tax rates.... [And] by starting with taxes and subsidies, Truss and Kwarteng guaranteed that nobody would pay attention to the most important parts of the plan: the essential pro-growth regulatory reforms that they had described in the 2012 book Britannia Unchained....
    "The lesson is that growth-minded policymakers should start with microeconomic reforms. Everyone can see that over-regulation and restrictions on housing and energy production are hobbling supply. Even climate-change activists are noticing that it is too difficult to get permits for windmills and transmission lines. Everyone can see that schools are awful and getting worse. Workers as well as business owners and managers can see that labour regulations are straitjacketing their workplaces. People can see in everyday experience how social-program disincentives lead some people not to work at all.
    "Patiently explaining these problems to voters can also make for good politics. We all long for simple mind-the-store competence in our governments. Fixing dysfunction is a visible achievement that works right away, with no short-run cost....
    "Truss’s critics seized on UK bond-market hiccups, though these were tiny compared to those of the 1980s. They also were largely attributable to the Bank of England raising rates, and to a pension risk regulation fiasco. [Previous posts ending here.] Nonetheless, Truss quickly gave in. By starting with an energy blowout to placate the left, she already encouraged her opponents to go in for the kill. When a shark is on your trail, you don’t offer it a foot and then assume that you’ll both get along. When an iron lady was needed, Truss proved to be made of straw....
    "For those of us who still understand that the only real solution lies in economic freedom and small, competent government, Truss’s downfall offers important lessons. We must heed them so that we don’t blow our chance if we get one."
          ~ John Cochrane, from his post 'Truss Tragedy'


3 comments:

MarkT said...

This passage should be read and re-read several times both by libertarians who think the only way to get political progress is by an extreme agenda, and the ‘moderates’ afraid to stand for any agenda at all. Progress is achieved by increments that can’t move too quickly, but still have to be moving in the right direction.

Tom Hunter said...

Even when I wrote about how bad it was on October 7 - Iron Lady? Meet Tin Lizzie - I didn't imagine it would actually collapse so fast:
That laughter you hear in the background is me looking at the ACT posters that are already up: Real Tax Cuts.
...
Stop laughing. What do you think Labour’s 39% income tax rate on those earning $180,000+ was really all about here in NZ?


The same political time bomb that Gordon Brown left behind to blow up Cameron instead sat for twelve years before finally targeting a Tory PM.

Tom Hunter said...

And now we know. The fracking moratorium has been reinstated by Sunak, casting aside the votes of tens of thousands of working class people who need lower energy costs in favour of Climate Change fanatics who hate the Tories and will never give him the time of day.