Tuesday, April 17, 2007

A challenge for warmists

Think Al Bore is right? Think sea levels are going to rise dramatically?

Then rather than working to shackle the rest of us, rather than going to work as a council planner for example and stopping people taking their own risks on their own beachfront property, then how about putting your own money where your mouth is? How about betting on your belief? You can do it, you know.
An online gambling service has started taking bets on global warming, including whether it can submerge some of the [US] East Coast's top vacation spots. [Source: Forbes]
And there's good money to be had if you're a warmist, and you actually believe the warmist litany: odds of up to 300-1! Said Reed Richards, a spokesman for gambling site BetUs.com, "About 3,000 placed bets during the first three days on online booking. Most gamblers on the site have put down money that Manhattan will be submerged before New Year's Eve 2011. "Don't ask me why," Richards said -- he's just happy to make money off morons.

A commenter at a free-market list I inhabit has this suggestion:
[This is] a fine chance for all those with scientific certainty to enrich themselves. I would hope that Al Gore would pick up on this and bet some of his utility bills on his predictions and then buy carbon offsets with his winnings. Same for environmental groups. If they are as certain as they say they are, they should be challenged to bet and thus gain a huge windfall for financing their causes.
Why wouldn't they accept such a challenge? And what does that mean for their own belief?

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3 Comments:

Anonymous hemi said...

Why wouldn't they accept such a challenge?

I would if they let me bet on poor low-lying Pacific Islands. The US is hardly likely to let a 1m sea-level rise over 20 years swamp any of its coastal cities. The Netherlands has shown that a rich western nation can have viable lower-than-sea-level coastal regions without too much fuss.

Most gamblers on the site have put down money that Manhattan will be submerged before New Year's Eve 2011

Sounds like they've watched The Day After Tomorrow one too many times, doesn't it?

4/17/2007 11:48:00 am  
Anonymous jim said...

"Don't ask me why," Richards said -- he's just happy to make money off morons.

I thought that DenMT would be keen to put his money on that gambling service because the prediction of the climate model is so certain to him.

4/17/2007 02:59:00 pm  
Anonymous george said...

If the odds were ok that AGW is a crock it would beat the daylights out of buying carbon credits

4/17/2007 09:43:00 pm  

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