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Tuesday, 16 June 2026

"It will go down as one of the greatest strategic blunders in US history."

"After a war that has cost an estimated $30bn, killed thousands and destroyed hundreds of millions of dollars worth of US military hardware, have any of Trump's declared objectives been fulfilled?

"Five big nos:
  • No on Iran's nuclear programme ... It remains far from obliterated.
  • No to changing the regime: Ayatollah Khamenei and a slew of top-ranking commanders have been killed but have been replaced by even more hardline figures, apparently in no mood to compromise.
  • No to helping the Iranian people who rose up against their government. ...
  • No to destroying Iran's ballistic missile arsenal. ... 70% of Iran's missiles remain serviceable.
  • No to reining in Iran's proxies. These are not part of any deal ...
"Iran has acquired leverage through this war that it never enjoyed before. Its control of the Strait of Hormuz gave it a grip on a fifth of the world's oil supply. It can wield that power at will in the future.

"It is likely, therefore, to be even less accommodating in these negotiations.

"Attacking Iran turned out to be a massive miscalculation ...

"It has cost America's standing in the world dearly and left Iran potentially stronger.

"It will go down as one of the greatest strategic blunders in US history."
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1 comment:

  1. Anonymous17 Jun 2026, 16:01:00

    Good summary thanks Peter. I suggest that this
    "Iran has acquired leverage through this war that it never enjoyed before. Its control of the Strait of Hormuz gave it a grip on a fifth of the world's oil supply. It can wield that power at will in the future."
    Will have a time limit as routes and supplies are changed over time to avoid Hormuz.

    ReplyDelete

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