tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11906042.post959104792755056835..comments2024-03-22T11:55:50.335+13:00Comments on Not PC: Government outagePeter Cresswellhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10699845031503699181noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11906042.post-84299743997021394852008-05-27T12:52:00.000+12:002008-05-27T12:52:00.000+12:00addendumMfE today has released Climate Change Effe...addendum<BR/><BR/>MfE today has released Climate Change Effects and Impacts Assessment: A guidance manual for local government – 2nd edition <BR/><BR/>I dread to think what local government is going to do with this in their so called planning – perhaps worth a post from you or Owen. <BR/><BR/>But what it does say is that hydro areas are likely to get even more rain. Meaning we can expect fewer years like this one. Assuming they are right of course… However, I seem to recall them predicting last winter as cold and dry and it was warm and wet. <BR/><BR/>insiderAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11906042.post-22265585543951803032008-05-27T12:14:00.000+12:002008-05-27T12:14:00.000+12:00There is no serious lack of capacity – in fact it’...There is no serious lack of capacity – in fact it’s higher now than nearly all of the 90s. What we have is a hydro based system experiencing a dry year and that means you have to manage carefully. Most years we have excess rain and have some of the cheapest power around.<BR/><BR/>What you seem to be saying is effectively “we don’t want to manage, we must have unlimited access to power”, but you don’t then ask “how much will that cost, who will benefit and who will pay?”. Those are really important questions that need to be answered, because someone is going to have to and based on current markets, it’s not going to be the industrials that ride the market and complain when it goes against them – it’s probably going to be you and me with little market power. <BR/><BR/>You have to ask, if power was so important to them, why don’t they build their own reserves? That they don’t means they don’t value the risk highly enough to manage it. So either the risk is actually not as high as they say, or they are hoping to pass the risk and cost to everyone else.<BR/><BR/>I agree the thermal moratorium is a potential problem in the future, but it actually doesn’t matter now because it doesn’t exist, and so has had no impact on the current situation which is entirely weather driven. Unless you want to lessen our dependence on hydro, the cheapest option for the country may be in managing demand every now and then.<BR/><BR/>insiderAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11906042.post-2343367292169765962008-05-27T09:02:00.000+12:002008-05-27T09:02:00.000+12:00Time to go buy a diesel genset and a 40 gallon dru...Time to go buy a diesel genset and a 40 gallon drum of derv to power it.<BR/><BR/>LGMAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com