tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11906042.post8640637761049387965..comments2024-03-22T11:55:50.335+13:00Comments on Not PC: DOWN TO THE DOCTOR’S: Salinger: Distinguished Ambassador For The Panic MerchantsPeter Cresswellhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10699845031503699181noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11906042.post-9172502317830241182013-02-05T15:15:49.300+13:002013-02-05T15:15:49.300+13:00Salinger is a nut. He liked to use, in radio inter...Salinger is a nut. He liked to use, in radio interviews, the ridiculous illustration, the Butterfly effect, for his alarmist twaddle. <br /><br />My question is - how many other commentators will have him up for this? This is the second greatest con in mankind's history (after (man-made) Gods) and there is little in the way of serious journalism. <br /><br />It's become a secular religion - therefore Liberals will not cast judgement on it. Hence the silence.<br /><br />[In chaos theory, the butterfly effect is the sensitive dependence on initial conditions, where a small change at one place in a deterministic nonlinear system can result in large differences to a later state. The name of the effect, coined by Edward Lorenz, is derived from the theoretical example of a hurricane's formation being contingent on whether or not a distant butterfly had flapped its wings several weeks before.<br />http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Butterfly_effect]gregsterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04786701115887458801noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11906042.post-33987546733264103582013-02-05T10:22:08.015+13:002013-02-05T10:22:08.015+13:00While at NIWA Jim's seasonal forecasts were a ...While at NIWA Jim's seasonal forecasts were a standing joke...he'd make the call that summer would be 'dryer and warmer than normal' and we would get drenched and cold. <br /><br />The guy would struggle to hindcast the weather let alone forecast future changes in climate. Yet his thesis methodology for 'adjusting' temperatures is still used by NIWA to torture the climate record so it confirms a warming trend of around 0.9 oC over the past century. See the sorry tale here:<br /><br />http://nzclimatescience.net/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=855&Itemid=1hydromannoreply@blogger.com