tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11906042.post2747537225747382958..comments2024-03-30T00:09:27.602+13:00Comments on Not PC: Meet the enfeebled, Part 2 (updated)Peter Cresswellhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10699845031503699181noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11906042.post-53962002240425588132008-06-05T09:32:00.000+12:002008-06-05T09:32:00.000+12:00Thanks everyone for your comments, and especially ...Thanks everyone for your comments, and especially Serum for checking the sums. (Nitpicking like that I always appreciate.)<BR/><BR/>I've amended the figures you pointed out. Thanks again.Peter Cresswellhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10699845031503699181noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11906042.post-88146058815407275282008-06-05T08:55:00.000+12:002008-06-05T08:55:00.000+12:00Interesting article and goes along way to giving a...Interesting article and goes along way to giving an understanding and visual display of the near historical power generation and demand in NZ.<BR/><BR/>For the figures given in Table 7.1 for 1965 to 2004 and as an indication at peak power times (when restrictions are most likely to occur) the inbuilt factor of safety against demand meeting generating capacity can be seen here by dividing Generated Capacity by Peak Load:<BR/><BR/>Year 1965 – 2336/2048 = 1.41<BR/>Year 1970 – 3683/2690 = 1.37<BR/>Year 1975 – 4784/3391 = 1.41<BR/>Year 1980 – 5860/3677 = 1.59<BR/>Year 1985 – 6988/4642 = 1.50<BR/>Year 1990 – 7067/5122 = 1.38<BR/>Year 1995 – 7910/5240 = 1.51<BR/>Year 2000 – 8845/5830 = 1.52<BR/>Year 2004 – 8515/6090 = 1.40<BR/><BR/>As can be seen there has been an up and down fluctuation to reserve capacity due, as indicated in the article, to the building and removing of generating capacity with year 2004 showing a marked decrease in reserve capacity to meet Peak Load. I do not know just what the ideal factor of safety is here but from the figures above 1.6 would appear to be relevant. Since no indicative figures have been presented beyond 2004 we can only assume this F of S can only have become ever more critical.<BR/><BR/>Sorry to nit-pick but if I understand it correctly there appears to be an arithmetical error in the Total Nett New Capacity Since 1990 figure of 956.5 MW.<BR/><BR/>“We could even go back to 1990 if we like and add the Clyde dam, finally commissioned in 1992, contributing 432 MW to the grid (giving us a total of 2822.5 MW” – <BR/><BR/>the figure 2822.5 MW should read 2282.5 MW (1850.5 MW + 432 MW) and with the power stations decommissioned for the period 1990 – 2008 being 1333 MW this would make the Total Nett New Capacity since 1990: 949.5MW (2282.5-1333 = 949.5 MW) a figure even more on the pathetic side.<BR/><BR/>Thanks again for the informative articleAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11906042.post-75679047136338553242008-06-04T08:41:00.000+12:002008-06-04T08:41:00.000+12:00Great post PC, and well researched.JulianGreat post PC, and well researched.<BR/><BR/>JulianJulianhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11105977816595973510noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11906042.post-78815343748155381852008-06-04T00:34:00.000+12:002008-06-04T00:34:00.000+12:00Progress cannot be planned by government...And yet...<I>Progress cannot be planned by government...</I><BR/><BR/>And yet, you still think that it is progress when the government disallowed the Canadian Pension Funds from buying shares in Auckland International Airport?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11906042.post-31822055350488134322008-06-03T21:46:00.001+12:002008-06-03T21:46:00.001+12:00- Ayn Rand- Ayn RandRebel Radiushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04651727549510158967noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11906042.post-84379726963517142352008-06-03T21:46:00.000+12:002008-06-03T21:46:00.000+12:00Great article PC."The root of production is man’s ...Great article PC.<BR/><BR/>"The root of production is man’s mind; the mind is an attribute of the individual and it does not work under orders, controls and compulsion, as centuries of stagnation have demonstrated. <B>Progress cannot be planned by government, and it cannot be restricted or retarded; it can only be stopped, as every Statist government has demonstrated.</B>Rebel Radiushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04651727549510158967noreply@blogger.com